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2024-12-13 12:28:57

Citic Securities said that near the Spring Festival, the superposition policy is expected to heat up, and consumption is expected to usher in a new round of rebound and repair. CITIC Securities suggested that the consumption allocation should be progressive from both offensive and defensive to flexible varieties. In terms of both offensive and defensive, we can pay attention to consumer internet, dairy products with low valuation and high return, and mass catering that are expected to be the first to stabilize; In the aspect of flexibility, the catering supply chain, alcohol, human resources services, hotels and so on with obvious pro-cyclical characteristics are considered.Ping An Securities judges that the growth style of A-share market will be more flexible in 2025, and structural investment opportunities will increase.In the news, official website, the Hangzhou Municipal Government, recently released the "Three-year Action Plan for Hangzhou to Build" the City of Games: Never Sleeping in Hangzhou "(2025-2027) for public comments, which mentioned that excellent commercial enterprises should be cultivated, and commercial enterprises should be encouraged to develop headquarters economy and carry out chain operation.


On December 12th, the A-share market fluctuated all day, and the GEM index was relatively strong. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index reported 3461.50 points, up 0.85%; Shenzhen Component Index reported 10,957.13 points, up 1.00%; Growth enterprise market index reported 2292.15 points, up 1.35%. The turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets on that day was 1,866.9 billion yuan, 90.5 billion yuan more than the previous trading day.Looking forward to the market outlook, Guohai Securities said that the upside of the index has been opened, and Hong Kong stocks, as the leading indicator, may be more flexible with the blessing of the Fed's interest rate cut. Stylistically, the market is dominated by stages at the end of the year, and the SSE 50 is at a low level relative to the small-cap style. The recent value style is expected to remain strong driven by "insurance capital allocation+policy expectation".Yesterday, the big consumption sector "blossomed more", with retail, ice and snow tourism, food and beverage leading the way. At the close, among the retail stocks, more than 20 shares including Three Squirrels, Maoye Commercial, Zhongbai Group, Hangzhou Jiebai, Yimin Group, Cuiwei and Guangbai have daily limit.


Huaxi Securities believes that in 2025, A-share earnings are expected to usher in an inflection point, with a high probability of technological growth assets, and revenue growth is expected to become the dominant factor in style allocation. The short-term "New Year's Market" has been launched, focusing on the value direction of the market before the year, and looking at the two main lines of domestic demand and advanced manufacturing after the year. It is expected that A shares will remain in a volatile state, and the "New Year's Market" configuration has a high winning rate.The big financial sector rose in intraday trading.Looking forward to the market outlook, Guohai Securities said that the upside of the index has been opened, and Hong Kong stocks, as the leading indicator, may be more flexible with the blessing of the Fed's interest rate cut. Stylistically, the market is dominated by stages at the end of the year, and the SSE 50 is at a low level relative to the small-cap style. The recent value style is expected to remain strong driven by "insurance capital allocation+policy expectation".

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